2010 - Reprints: Finance, Accounting and Insurance

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Corporate long-range quantitative goals: Profit or growth?  The Journal of Wealth Management, 12(1), 75-88, 2009.
J. Aharony and E. Noy
(Reprint No. 134)

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NO ABSTRACT

Detecting liquidity traders, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 44(1), 29-54, 2009.A.
Kalay and A. Wohl
(Reprint No. 135)

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We develop a measure (based on the relative slopes of the demand and supply schedules) quantifying the asymmetric presence of liquidity traders in the market: a steeper slope of the demand (supply) schedule indicates a concentration of liquidity traders on the demand (supply) side. Using the opening session of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, we demonstrate the predictive power of our measure. Consistent with theory, we find that the concentration of liquidity traders on the demand (supply) side is negatively (positively) correlated with future returns. We find that liquidity traders are likely to arrive at the market together (commonality).

The `big pharma` dilemma: Develop new drugs or promote existing ones?  Nature Reviews Drug Discovery, 8(7), 535-534, 2009.
D. Weiss, P.A. Naik and R. Weiss
(Reprint No. 136)

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Pharmaceutical companies decide how much to invest in developing new drugs and promoting existing ones, thereby influencing the rate of drug discovery and the state of biomedical research funding.  The relative emphasis on innovation compared with marketing depends on how these activities affect the short term profitability and the long term value of the company.  To understand why companies invest extensively in promoting existing products when drug discovery seems to be their core value-generator, we examined the spending on research and development (R&D) versus sales and marketing by pharmaceutical companies over the past three decades.

Operational hedging against adverse circumstances, Journal of Operations Management, 27(5), 362-373, 2009.
D. Weiss and M.W. Maher
(Reprint No. 137)

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This paper investigates operational hedging against severe disruptions to normal operations. It offers a new method to evaluate the extent that operations policy serves as a hedge against adverse circumstances.  We apply the proposed method to explore how supply chain characteristics affect the responses of airlines to the acute demand fall off after the September 11 terrorist attacks. Results indicate that operational hedging vehicles (fleet standardization, high-fleet utilization, an aircraft ownership policy rather than leasing, and international operations) are more powerful in protecting firms than using financial instruments. The study contributes in guiding managers as to how operations policy can serve as an imperative factor in mitigating exposures to low-end performance levels.

Optimal execution of open-market stock repurchase programs, Journal of Financial Markets, 12(4), 832-869, 2009.
J. Oded
(Reprint No. 138)

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This paper formalizes the following intuition about open-market share repurchases. Firms do open-market share repurchases to return free cash, which would otherwise be wasted. However, when the firm goes to buy its own shares with this cash, it has inside information and hence the actual execution is characterized by adverse selection. The market knows that the firm has inside information, and consequently the ask price is high to compensate for this adverse selection problem. This implies that, all else equal, the greater the adverse selection problem compared to the cash waste problem, the higher the ask price, and, therefore, the wider the bid–ask spread and the lower the share repurchase completion rate. We test this implication on a sample of U.S. firms and report evidence consistent with the model.

Why does DCF undervalue equity, Journal of Applied Finance, 19(1&2), 49-62, 2009.
J. Oded and A. Michel
(Reprint No. 139)

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Academics and professionals frequently use the yield to maturity (YTM) as a proxy for the cost of debt when valuing firms using discounted cash flow (DCF).  This paper demonstrates that this practice is incorrect because YTM is calculated based on promised cash flows, whereas the traditional DCF valuation of firms is based on expected cash flows.  The correct cost of debt in DCF valuations of firms is the expected return on debt.  Valuations of firms that use the YTM as the cost of debt underestimate the correct value.  This distortion is particularly large for highly levered firms where the difference between YTM and expected return on debt is sizable.  These results are demonstrated using the recent highly publicized leveraged buyout of Clear Channel Communications Inc.  We show that if YTM rather than expected return on debt were used in the valuation process, the price offered for the shares would have significantly underestimated their fair value.

 

On the market reaction to revenue and earnings surprises, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 36(1/2), 31-50, 2009.
I. Kama
(Reprint No. 140)

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This study extends Ertimur et al. (2003) and Jegadeesh and Livnat (2006a) by providing a contextual framework for the information content of revenue and earnings surprises. I find that the influence of earnings surprises (revenue surprises) on stock returns is lower (higher) in R&D intensive companies. Also, market reaction to earnings surprises is lower in the fourth quarter, and to revenue surprises it is higher in industries with oligopolistic competition. A comprehensive analysis indicates that, in contrast to previous studies for the full sample, in several contexts market reaction to earnings surprises is not higher than to revenue surprises.

Tunneling as an incentive for earnings management during the IPO process in China, Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 29(1), 1-26, 2010.
J. Aharoni, J. Wang and H. Yuan
(Reprint No. 141)

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Using a sample of 185 Chinese IPO firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange during the period 1999–2001, we show that related-party (RP) sales of goods and services could be used opportunistically to manage earnings upwards in the pre-IPO period. We also provide evidence that such behavior may be motivated by the prospect of tunneling opportunities in the post-IPO period, i.e., exploiting economic resources from minority shareholders for the benefit of the parent company. We provide evidence of one such opportunistic tunneling tool: non-repayment by Chinese parent companies of net outstanding corporate loans made to them by their newly listed subsidiaries. Furthermore, we provide evidence in support of our assertion of an association between such tunneling behavior in the post-IPO period and earnings management via abnormal RP sales in the pre-IPO period. Finally, we demonstrate the apparent failure of investors in Chinese IPOs to perceive the link between the two phenomena. The results enhance understanding of the motives for and consequences of earnings manipulation during the IPO process. They highlight a potential additional investment risk facing foreign investors in China’s capital markets as well as in Chinese firms cross-listed in non-Chinese stock exchanges, and have policy implications for China and other emerging markets which need to improve the protection of minority shareholders’ rights.

 

The impact of mandatory IFRS adoption on equity valuation of accounting numbers for security investors in the EU, European Accounting Review, 19 (3), 535-578, 2010.
J. Aharony, R. Barniv and H. Falk
(Reprint No. 166)

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Motivated by the European Union (EU) decision to mandate application of the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) to the consolidated financial statements of all EU listed firms (Regulation (EC) 1606/2002), starting in December 2005, we compare the value relevance of accounting information in 14 European countries in the year prior to and the year of the mandatory adoption of the IFRS. We focus on three accounting information items for which measurements under IFRS are likely to differ considerably from measurements under domestic accounting practices across the EU countries prior to the introduction of the international standards:  goodwill, research and development expenses (R&D), and asset revaluation. These three items, selected on an a priori basis, have been shown in previous research to differ in the effect of uncertainty on their future benefits. We use valuation models that include these three variables and in addition the book value of equity and earnings.  Overall, our study suggests that the adoption of the IFRS has increased the value relevance of the three accounting numbers for investors in equity securities in the EU.  Association tests support our two hypotheses: (1) in the year prior to the mandatory adoption of the IFRS, the incremental value relevance to investors of the three domestic GAAP-based accounting items was greater in countries where the respective domestic standards were more compatible with the IFRS; and (2) the higher the deviation of the three domestic GAAP-based accounting items from their corresponding IFRS values, the greater the incremental value relevance to investors from the switch to IFRS. These associations prevail when considering cross-country differences in the institutional environments, which tend to provide complementary effects.

Cost behavior and analysts’ earnings forecast, The Accounting Review, 85 (4), 1441-1471, 2010.
D. Weiss
(Reprint No. 167)

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This study examines how firms’ asymmetric cost behavior influences analysts’ earnings forecasts, primarily the accuracy of analysts’ consensus earnings forecasts.  Results indicate that firms with stickier cost behavior have less accurate analysts’ earnings forecasts than firms with less sticky cost behavior. Furthermore, findings show that cost stickiness influences analysts’ coverage priorities and investors appear to consider sticky cost behavior in forming their beliefs about the value of firms. This study integrates a typical management accounting research topic, cost behavior, with three standard financial accounting topics (namely, accuracy of analysts’ earnings forecasts, analysts’ coverage, and market response to earnings surprises).

On the different styles of large shareholders’ activism, Economics of Governance, 11(3), 229-267, 2010.
J. Oded and Y. Wang
(Reprint No. 168)

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This paper extends Noe’s (Rev Financial Studies 15:289–317, 2002) model of large shareholder activism in two directions. First, it considers a framework in which large shareholders can choose not only when to monitor, but also how intensively they want to monitor the firm. Second, it considers the impact of laws and regulations by introducing a governance quality parameter that makes monitoring more cost effective. The model yields a new and rich characterization of activism. We find that share wealth (ownership concentration) induces monitoring for higher firm value through more frequent monitoring with unchanged intensity. Cash wealth motivates activism for trading gains, not higher firm value, through less frequent monitoring coupled with higher intensity.  We also find that better governance leads to higher firm value through more frequent but less intense activism. When asymmetries within the group of large shareholders exist, the model predicts that the larger/wealthier/more efficient shareholders are more active. These results are broadly consistent with the empirical evidence.

Not all buybacks are created equal: The case of accelerated stock repurchases, Financial Analysts Journal, 66(6), 55-72, December 2010.
A. Michel, J. Oded and I. Shaked
(Reprint No. 169)

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The authors documented the characteristics and market performance of ASR (accelerated share repurchase) stock. They found that post-announcement ASR stock performance is poor, unlike that documented in the literature for other repurchase methods, which implies that ASRs do not signal undervaluation, a frequently suggested motivation for repurchases.

Ex dividend arbitrage in option markets, The Review of Financial Studies, 23 (1), 271-303, 2010.
J. Hao, A. Kalay and S. Mayhew
(Reprint No. 170)

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We examine the behavior of call options surrounding the underlying stock’s ex-dividend date. The evidence is inconsistent with the predictions of a rational exercise policy; a significant fraction of the open interest remains unexercised, resulting in a windfall gain to option writers. This triggers a sophisticated trading scheme that enables short-term traders to receive a significant fraction of the gains. The trading scheme inflates reported volume and distorts its traditional relations to liquidity. The dramatic increases in the volume of trade on the last cum-dividend day are facilitated by limitations on transaction costs passed by the various option exchanges. (JEL G13, G14, G18).

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